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And then there were two… fewer

October 6, 2011 at 7:13 am 18 The Loft
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The GOP field has finally come together. After months of speculation, two “could be’s” announced that they are “not this timers.” New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin are not running for president. This likely means the GOP field is what it is and anybody who was holding out for either of these candidates should give the current field a look. One of them could be the next president of the United States.

As noted in the AP story on GOPUSA, Christie said in a press conference, “Now is not my time.”

The famously blunt, budget-cutting governor in office not even two years had spent the past few days reconsidering his long-time refusals to run for the GOP presidential nomination in light of encouragement from GOP leaders.

“I felt the obligation to earnestly consider their advice,” Christie said. “Over the last few weeks, I’ve thought long and hard about this decision.”

Ultimately, he decided against it on Monday evening.

“I went to bed last night for the first time in the last few days knowing exactly what I wanted to do,” Christie said.

On Wednesday, Palin announced that she would not make the run.

Palin’s announcement Wednesday was much anticipated but not greatly surprising. Her popularity had plummeted in polls lately, even though she remained a darling to many hard-core conservatives. Some Republicans felt she waited and teased too long about a presidential candidacy. Some remained perplexed by her decision to quit her job as governor with more than a year left in her single term.

In Palin’s announcement to supporters, she said that she will “help coordinate strategies to assist in replacing the President, re-taking the Senate, and maintaining the House.”

Do these announcements help or hurt any candidate? Will conservatives who were holding out for Palin, now shift to Bachmann or Cain or Perry? Will Christie supporters rally behind Romney?

In the latest Fox News Poll, the GOP debates have helped shake up and reorder the field. Once firmly entrenched in the “others receiving votes” section of the results, Herman Cain is now a serious contender. The poll has Romney leading with 23% followed by Perry with 19% and Cain with 17%.

The Fox News story also reports on match-ups between Obama and a GOP candidate. “Romney tops Obama among independents by a slim 2 points. In a head-to-head matchup with Perry, Obama bests him by 8 points among all voters, and by 6 points among independents.”

I would not pay attention to the “hypothetical match-ups.” Romney currently beats Obama, because more people have heard of Romney than Perry or some of the other GOP candidates. Romney was a major contender in 2008 and thus has higher name recognition. The poll that makes more sense to study now is the Generic Presidential Ballot poll by Rasmussen Reports. In that poll a generic GOP presidential candidate beats Obama 47% to 41%.

The first primaries and caucuses are just a few months away. Has your pick changed? If you are a Palin or Christie supporter, who is your choice now. The field has a candidate for just about everyone, and hopefully the winning candidate will usher in a new era of “hope and change” by changing who occupies the White House.

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18 Comments

  1. inluminatuo October 6, 2011 at 7:48 am

     
    “I have a dream that one day this nation will rise up and live out the true meaning of its creed: “We hold these truths to be self-evident: that all men are created equal.”
     
    “I have a dream that one day on the red hills of Georgia the sons of former slaves and the sons of former slave owners will be able to sit down together at the table of brotherhood.
     
    “I have a dream that my four little children will one day live in a nation where they will not be judged by the color of their skin but by the content of their character.
     
    “I have a dream that one day every valley shall be exalted, every hill and mountain shall be made low, the rough places will be made plain, and the crooked places will be made straight, and the glory of the Lord shall be revealed, and all flesh shall see it together.
     
    I HAVE A DREAM that the current occupant of the White house who tries to defeat the above dreams at every turn, will be crushed by a now unknown Dark Horse Republican Candidate who will miraculously arise out of a locked Convention as if by the hand and will of the True God these Secular Liberal Democrat Self-Gods despise.
     
    Let us all pray for a savior
     

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    • ralanm October 6, 2011 at 8:56 am

      My hope,too,is that this final selection goes to the convention. Then we will have a true nominee that ALL conservaties can stand behind, side by side with our more lideral bretheren. One thing is certain, we cannot have business as usual in OUR WHITE HOUSE. May God bless us, everyone.

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  2. Spikeygrrl October 6, 2011 at 8:31 am

    In answer to the article’s closing questions:

    I was a Palin supporter (anybody wanna buy two used “Palin 2012” sweatshirts? ;)), and would have supported Christie if he decided to run and she did not.

    Of the current slate, Newt is the smartest man in the room but IMHO he’s got too many negatives to be electable (but would be a great asset in the Cabinet).

    I like Bachmann’s style, but she’s much too militantly Christian for my peace of mind.

    I ALWAYS liked Cain — there’s some personal history there going back to the mid-1980s — but was concerned whether or not he could acquire enough media-savvy “polish” to stay the course. That doubt has now been laid to rest. Of course it’s WAAAaaaaay too early to rule out more major shakeups in the campaign, but Cain is currently where my money is.    

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  3. Dave October 6, 2011 at 10:59 am

    “Has your pick changed?”

    Nope, I prefer a ticket like Cain/Bachman. I do not like Perry or Romney they just do not inspire confidence. But, if Cain does not apologize for this Rock Fiasco, I would rather show up to a voting booth and walk away without voting for anyone.

    The GOP needs to vet their candidates better for strong conservatives who are governed by principle and respect for the rule of law. The US Constitution must be held sacrosanct as the supreme law of the land and any equivocation needs to be throughly investigated to protect the rule of law.

    But, then again, I am just an independent!!!

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    • KBB October 7, 2011 at 6:31 pm

      IMO, in immediately thinking the worst of Perry, Cain sounded a bit like Obama over the rock thing.  I would have preferred Cain’s reaction to be more like, “you know what, I’ll give Perry the benefit of the doubt that he is not a racist.  Obama plays the race card at every opportunity, and I refuse to do that.  I prefer to take the route of not acting like a victim, not assuming it was a personal attack on me and my fellow blacks by Perry, and move on.”

      What we don’t need in the WH is another leader who whines over non-existent racism, who focuses on it to the point that it creates a thin skin and a chip on the shoulder about it.  This is what divides the country, as Obama well knows and uses it for that reason.  It’s enough to make me wonder, am I up to continuing with a black leader?  Or have I had enough of the race card?  Will I have to agree 110% with Cain on every little thing he does in order to avoid being accused of racism – if not by Cain, by someone else?  Makes me wonder.

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  4. Rick October 6, 2011 at 11:47 am

    Dave, the GOP has already vetted it’s candidate Romney – Romney – Romney.  They want an establishment Republican (RINO) just like the last election (McCain).  Just look at who they supported in the mid-terms for the House and Senate.  I have not contributed to the GOP for years (only to candidates), because the gang at the National Committee’s just don’t get it, and have not for some time.

    At this point, I just hope we have an election next year…the Democrats have already sent up some trial balloons questioning the need for allowing us to vote.

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    • TRUTHTELLER October 6, 2011 at 1:58 pm

      Rick,

      I say ditto to that.  The RNC is no better now than when Michael Steele was running the show.  It’s business as usual with them.  The establishment cliques in D.C. want another Casper Milquetoast in the White House, just as McCain would have been, so that they can manipulate till their hearts content.

      Boy, do we need a dark horse.  Bachmann has the right stuff, but I just don’t see that certain spark of energy, that can unite Republicans and Conservatives.

      I like Herman Cain, because he tells it like it is, no spin.  His down-to-earth style is refreshing.  The RNC establishment will have a very difficult time trying to manipulate Cain.  That’s the rub.  The RNC controlls the purse strings and they rarely fund a Conservative candidate, because, in general, Conservatives don’t support the statis-quo in DC.

      It remains to be seen, if Herman Cain can overcome the establishment, raise enough money and gain enough name recognition, not only to win the nomination, but the Presidency as well.

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    • Dave October 8, 2011 at 11:45 am

      Rick,

      Your comments are exactly why I am a Conservative Independent and why the GOP must begin vetting candidates more thoroughly.

      How can a double set of RINO’s McCain & Romney gain any type of recognition in the GOP when there are so many other, better qualified, electable, and conservative candidates for nomination? GOP, VET your candidates. If they do not support in word and action conservative principles, communicate honestly and clearly, and follow through with bold action, DO NOT SUPPORT THEM.

      Seems obvious to me; but like I said, I am just an outside independent.

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  5. vietnamvet October 6, 2011 at 2:24 pm

    My pick hasn’t changed.
    I will vote in the general election for whoever wins the primary, but I would prefer to cast that vote for Mr. Gingrich.

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    • capricorn1 October 7, 2011 at 11:52 am

      i tend to agree with you on newt v.v. he is the only one who is voicing his displeasure with the media and there questions at the debates and is not affraid of the left or obama.
      my favorite line is obama is the foodstamp president.also i believe newt would wear him out in a debate.

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  6. Bill from Middletown October 6, 2011 at 5:40 pm

    The more I hear about Herman Cain, the more I like him.  He has two masters degrees, one in mathematics, and the other in computer science.  He helped develop propulsion systems for the Navy, making him the first bonafide rocket scientist to run for the presidency.

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  7. Billzilla October 6, 2011 at 9:09 pm

    No candidate will ever be perfect for everyone. However any candidate who actually will stand on principle and have the courage to speak his or her convictions will be a thousand times better than the current occupier of the White House!

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  8. GladysMP October 6, 2011 at 9:13 pm

     If all American voters could speak personally with Rick Perry, he would win by a landslide.  He is personable, sincere, patriotic and the best candidate for the Republicans.  When Perry’s poll numbers shot so high, the Democrats started shaking in their boots .  Naturally they started to slander him as much as they can.  They had hoped  that Obama would be competing against Romney who is cocky, obnoxious and boring in his manner. How could Romney discourage Obamacare when he started the same in his state?  Perry should be the Republican nominee if they hope to beat Obama. I pray they will wake up to that truth.

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  9. GladysMP October 6, 2011 at 9:17 pm

    Perry would make a great President.  This native Texan hates to see the petty and false things that are being said about Perry that have absolutely nothing to do with running the country.  I hope Perry gets some sleep before the next debate.  He was being invited everywhere and made two speeches just prior to the Florida debate and had one scheduled immediately following the debate.  I feel like he lost sleep planning those speeches.  He is normally a great speaker.  He is not racist and has put blacks in high offices here in Texas.  Perry is not pro-illegals!   Nobody in Texas wants the border closed more than Perry and he has spent a huge amount of money doing what he can in that respect.  Perry has no authrority to deport illegals.  As governor, he must deal with things as as they are, not as he wishes them.  Perry has served as our governor longer than any other person.  Do you question the intelligence of Texas voters?

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    • oldcuz October 7, 2011 at 11:48 am

      I’m very sorry to say that I was pretty well committed to supporting Perry, as I do love the state of Texas very much and considered that if they felt so strongly that they kept returning him to office, but when he said that those of us who didn’t support him in his thoughts on giving aid to illegal immigrant children as far as financial aid didn’t “Have a Heart”, that shot it all down for me, as it could have came right out of the mouth of a thousand Progessives from the other side. and I will not give any credance to such garbage. As far as the “Rock” that is absolute left wing smear tactics and cuts absolutely no water with me.

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  10. KBB October 7, 2011 at 6:13 pm

    ….Her popularity had plummeted in polls lately….

    Not true.  A recent (liberal) Maris/McClatchey poll had her 7 points ahead of Obama.  Why do “republicans” continue to make such statements about her?

    …Some remained perplexed by her decision to quit her job as governor with more than a year left in her single term…

    And why bring this up, when Obama and Hillary both abandoned their senate jobs to run for the presidency?  With “republicans” like this, Palin didn’t need enemies.  The Left no doubt took their cues from them.

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    • Dave October 10, 2011 at 11:35 am

      I agree, Palin didn’t need enemies when her ‘Friends’ in the GOP were certainly complicit at best with regards to media attacks and poor support.

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  11. northerner October 10, 2011 at 2:59 pm

    I have always been interested in Romney for his business acumen.  The country needs a true executive in charge who knows what it means to make a payroll.  During the ’08 caucuses in Colorado, Romney scored something like 74% among Republicans.  But the state went for McCain.  That came out well.  Yes, he has some bad marks on some issues like the defense of marriage and his RomneyCare glitch.  I’ve heard of a couple of others.  Ron Paul is scary.  He has no concept of proper foreign policy and his opinions on the military are equally scary.  I liked the down-to-earth  “everyman” language and common sense of Gov. Palin and Congresswoman Bachmann but since Gov. Palin isn’t running (to her and her family’s advantage from a personal standpoint) and Ms. Bachmann has low ratings for some reason, and her national recognition doesn’t seem to be increasing as it needs to be, I don’t know where to go from here.  Yes, Newt is the most knowledgeable of all but his baggage is against him.  Can America get over the distortions against his Contract With America?  Could America get over/past the anti-Evangelical Christian bias against Michele?  As has been said previously, we’re not going to find a candidate that’s perfect.  We will dislike something about each one, whoever they are.  Sigh.

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