Election Statistics Unpopular but Undeniable

[2True]

The numbers speak. Their message may be unfashionable, but hardly unpalatable. They say:
GOP Future Depends on Winning Larger Share of the White Vote. (http://www.vdare.com/sailer/gop_future.htm)

The reason George W. Bush struggled so much to eke out a 271-267 win in the Electoral College (assuming that he can hold on to it) is not that he got crushed in the minority vote 77% to 21%. No, it's that he commanded only a measly 54% of the white vote.
More (http://www.vdare.com/sailer/gop_future.htm)
Quote[/b] ]What if in upping his share of the white electorate from 54% to 57%, Dubya had alienated more minority voters, causing his share of the nonwhite vote to fall by 8 points from 21% to 13%?

A disaster, right? Wrong. Bush still would have won 310 to 228.

What if in winning those three additional white share points, Dubya had lost every single nonwhite vote in the USA?

Incredibly, he still would have won. Bush would have tied 269-269 in the Electoral College and been elected President by the House of Representatives.

[USMC vet]

Golly ! *S'pose now us conservatives, HIS BASE, might get the time of day? *Yeah? *For how long after the elections do you think the honeymoon will last? *A measurement of days will be acceptable since I don't deal well with quantities like months with negative exponents. GW needs to make some substantial headway in areas like: *illegal aliens, the border, the 1st Amendment, the judicial nominees, quelling the sodomite revolution..... What am I missing?

Semper Fi

or is that "alleged" base?

[markinthedark]

Can't ignore an obvious land mine when it blows up in your face. Dubya has agood chance at two terms, be he still has to pump up the base. My daddy said dance with the girl that brung ya, I'm sure GW is gentleman enough to remember that. http://www.gopusa.com/iB_html/non-cgi/emoticons/usflag22.gif

[Commodore Barrett]

I shall agree with one aspect of 2True's argument:
the flip side of the CA debacle in the 2000 Presidential Election is additional GOP votes in the Great Plains and the Great Basin.

Coupled with the GOP electoral lock on the South, it could add up to another term for GW -- and, in all possibility, another Republican President in 2008 when Hillary runs.

As she will.